4 SEC football picks to hammer and one to avoid in Week 3

Sep 9, 2023; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban walks off the field following their 34-24 loss to the Texas Longhorns at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 9, 2023; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban walks off the field following their 34-24 loss to the Texas Longhorns at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports /
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Kansas State Wildcats running back Deuce Vaughn (22) Mandatory Credit: Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports /

AVOID: Kansas State at Missouri

This is a game you don’t want to count on for anything. The 3.5-point spread is indicative of what Vegas sees here. This is an out-of-conference game between two teams who dislike each other about as much as any two non-conference teams can.

Kansas State is a quality team and fully deserving of their No. 15 ranking, but the Tigers are almost always tough at home, and weird things happen at noon on the SEC Network.

Even the over/under for this game should make bettors squirrely, sitting at 47.5. There may not even be 30 points scored in this game, but there could also be 60. The unpredictability factor for this one is at a 10. There are some bad beats possibly coming out of this game.