SEC Football: Southbound and Down Pick ‘Em
Here at Southbound and Down, we all consider ourselves avid SEC fans. Each of us may have a preferred team or two, but we all love the SEC. Now that SEC football is upon, starting tonight with South Carolina and Vanderbilt, it is time that we put that fandom to the test.
More from SEC Football
- SEC Football: Rattler, Cook, Mertz Rise in Week 4 QB Power Rankings
- 2023 Week 4 AP Poll Top 25: Every SEC team’s highest, lowest spot on ballot
- SEC Football: Florida, LSU rise in Week 4 2023 power rankings
- 4 SEC football picks to hammer and one to avoid in Week 3
- After down Week 2, Week 3 provides another opportunity for SEC football
Welcome to the first annual Southbound and Down Staff Pick ‘Em. Most of the writers on staff will make weekly picks and we’ll keep track for bragging rights. Of course I think I’m going to win, but I’ll refrain from trash talking…unless provoked by the staff. Then…well…it gets even more fun.
I’ll provide a little bit of commentary for each game. Most staff writers chose not to go this route, but you will notice at least guy guy with a similar last name did the same. It must be something about that name that makes us feel like we know more than everybody else. Then again, we were not the only ones to comment on our picks.
But until then…my first pick is me to win this competition for bragging rights.
On to the picks* . . .
Thursday, September 3
South Carolina (-3) V North Carolina
5 PM (CT), ESPN/WatchESPN
Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
Picks
John: Give me North Carolina and the points here. To me this is a toss-up and the 3 bonus points push me in favor
of North Carolina. Heads up I’ll take South Carolina.
Neal Wilkerson: South Carolina by 8
Ben Murphy (I’m not sure on some of his picks. I can’t assume who his pick was without the spread. He only picked
with the spread) : USC
Ben Richardson: South Carolina- The Gamecocks and Spurrier walk away with an easy W. UNC athletics is an absolute mess right now.
Ryan Summers: North Carolina by 7
David Waters: South Carolina, cover
Lee Wardlaw: In the opener, Steve Spurrier finds a way to outscore Marquise Williams and an explosive offense. Expect the Tar Heels to cover the spread.
Vanderbilt (even) V Western Kentucky
7 PM (CT), SEC Network/WatchESPN
Picks
John’s: Seriously, how did Vanderbilt fall so quickly? From winning 9 games two straight years to not even viewed
Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
as a favorite against Western Kentucky….? What’s worse? I’ll take Western Kentucky.
Neal Wilkerson: Western Kentucky by 9
Ben Murphy : VANDY
Ben Richardson: Western Kentucky; See Vandy/Temple game last year.
Ryan Summers: Vanderbilt by 14
David Waters: Vandy
Lee Wardlaw: Vandy will be improved, but still has plenty of questions. I can’t bet against Western Kentucky and their explosive offense.
Saturday, September 4
Georgia (-35) V Louisana Monroe
11 AM (CT), SEC Network/WatchESPN
Picks
John’s: With a newly named quarterback and a lot to prove, Richt won’t his foot off the gas here until he scores 50.
Nov 22, 2014; Athens, GA, USA; Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Brice Ramsey (12) drops back to pass against the Charleston Southern Buccaneers during the second half at Sanford Stadium. Georgia defeated Charleston Southern 55-9. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Give me Georgia, keep the points.
Neal Wilkerson: Georgia by 28
Ben Murphy: MONROE
Ben Richardson: After Nick Chubb gets 200 yards in the first half, Coach Richt will want to show off his new QB Greyson Lambert. If the spread was 50, I’d still take UGA.
Ryan Summers: Georgia by 21
David Waters: Georgia, they cover
Lee Wardlaw: The quarterback situation isn’t ideal in Athens, but it won’t matter with Nick Chubb in the backfield. I’m taking Georgia and the points.
Ole Miss (-25) V Tennessee-Martin
11 AM (CT), SEC Network/WatchESPN
Picks
John’s: This is a surprisingly tough line. I think Freeze rotates all 3 quarterbacks and costs his team momentum.
Aug 28, 2014; Atlanta, GA, USA; Mississippi Rebels defensive tackle Robert Nkemdiche (5) hits Boise State Broncos quarterback Grant Hedrick (9) as he throws the ball in the first quarter of the 2014 Chick-fil-a Kickoff Game at the Georgia Dome. Mandatory Credit: Paul Abell-USA TODAY Sports
He’ll still sub the second D and TM will score late…it’s a close one but give me Ole Miss to cover.
Neal Wilkerson: Ole Miss by 30
Ben Murphy: OLE MISS
Ben Richardson: Ole Miss, again, by 50. Chad Kelly has something to prove, and Laquon Treadwell is out to show scouts he is the number 1 wide receiver in the upcoming draft. The Ole Miss first team defense won’t allow over 50 total yards.
Ryan Summers: Ole Miss by 33
David Waters: Ole Miss…to cover…you guessed it
Lee Wardlaw: The offense might struggle out of the gate, but look for Ole Miss to run away in the second half. I’m taking the Rebels and the points.
Arkansas (-33) V UTEP
2:30 PM (CT) ESPNU/WatchESPN
Picks
John’s: 33 points is an offensive explosion for the offense of Arkansas. They aren’t shutting UTEP out. Give me
Dec 29, 2014; Houston, TX, USA; Arkansas Razorbacks wide receiver Drew Morgan (80) reacts after the game against the Texas Longhorns in the 2014 Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Arkansas heads up but UTEP against the spread.
Neal Wilkerson: Arkansas by 35
Ben Murphy: ARKANSAS
Ben Richardson: I like UTEP to cover. Run, run, run will only get you ahead by more than 33 a few times a year. I’m interested to see the Arkansas D versus an offense with a little bit of potential.
Ryan Summers: Arkansas by 3
David Waters: Arkansas wins and covers
Lee Wardlaw: Brandon Allen will have a field day, and UTEP will have a hard time scoring against an Arkansas defense that returns many players to a top 15 unit from ’14.
Auburn (-10.5) V Louisville
2:30 PM (CT) CBS
Picks
John’s: This is a pick where Vegas will make a lot of money. 10.5 is a great line for this game. I think Aubun’s
Oct 26, 2013; Auburn, AL, USA; Auburn Tigers quarterback Jeremy Johnson (6) looks to pass against the Florida Atlantic Owls at Jordan Hare Stadium. The Tigers beat the Owls 45-10. Mandatory Credit: Shanna Lockwood-USA TODAY Sports
offense clicks big time and Muschamp’s improvements are enough that Auburn will clear the spread.
Neal Wilkerson: Auburn by 17
Ben Murphy: AUBURN
Ben Richardson: Auburn covers. I like Auburn to go nuts this year. Auburn may as well be an oversized Harley with a co-ed on the back, because Petrino is going to drop it.
Ryan Summers: No pick
David Waters: Auburn wins and covers
Lee Wardlaw: The Cardinals take Aubie to the wire at the Georgia Dome. I’m going with Louisville to cover the spread.
Mizzou (-25) V SEMO
3:00 PM (CT) SEC Network/ESPN
Picks
John’s: Everyone on staff has full-time commitments. In order to make these picks, we have to use the spreads that
Jan 1, 2015; Orlando, FL, USA; Missouri Tigers quarterback Maty Mauk (7) celebrates a 18 yard touchdown run Mandatory Credit: David Manning-USA TODAY Sports
are available when we make them. If this has not changed to -40 I’ll be shocked. Mizzou to cover.
Neal Wilkerson: Mizzou by 20
Ben Murphy: MIZZOU
Ben Richardson: Is this even real? SEC East back to back winner, being 25 point favorites is an insult. Mizzou, by 50
Ryan Summers: Mizzou by 31
David Waters: Mizzou Wins and covers
Lee Wardlaw: Missouri should beat the spread against instate cupcake Southeastern Missouri.
Tennessee (-20.5) V Bowling Green
3:00 PM (CT) SEC Network/WatchEspn
Picks
John’s: A tough line to pick. I feel like Tennessee will struggle to live up to the hype early. But I’ll take Tennessee to
Sep 27, 2014; Athens, GA, USA; Tennessee Volunteers running back Jalen Hurd (1) runs against the Georgia Bulldogs during the second half at Sanford Stadium. Georgia defeated Tennessee 35-32. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
win by 21.
Neal Wilkerson: Tennessee by 24
Ben Murphy: TENN
Ben Richardson: Bowling Green covers. Calm down, I didn’t say wins, I said covers! UT is a young team trying to manage some huge expectations. Expect silly mistakes early and often
Ryan Summers: Tennessee by 18
David Waters: Tennessee for the W and the cover
Lee Wardlaw: Joshua Dobbs and an offense that returns eleven starters shouldn’t have any problem against MAC competition in the Music City. I’m taking Tennessee and the points.
Texas A&M (+3) V Arizona State
6:00 PM (CT) ESPN/WatchESPN
Picks
John’s: This game has moved to A&M being the favorite. For good reason…I’ll take A&M and the points.
Nov 27, 2014; College Station, TX, USA; Texas A&M Aggies quarterback Kyle Allen (10) before a game against the LSU Tigers at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Neal Wilkerson: Texas A&M by 4
Ben Murphy: A AND M
Ben Richardson: Easily the hardest pick of the slate of games. Does Texas A&M have a defense? I mean, ANY DEFENSE WILL SUFFICE! I believe John Chavis can single handedly make A&M the surprise team from the West, and I think ASU will be surprised with a much better defensive showing from A&M. I’m taking the Aggies to cover and to win.
Ryan Summers: Arizona State by 21
David Waters: Texas A&M
Lee Wardlaw: A de-facto home game in Houston, the Aggies pop Arizona State’s playoff balloon in week one in a high scoring affair.
Kentucky (-17.5) V Lousiana Lafayette
6:00 PM (CT) ESPNU/WatchESPN
Picks
John’s: Kentucky, keep the points. Next.
Nov 29, 2014; Louisville, KY, USA; Kentucky Wildcats quarterback Patrick Towles (14) looks to pass against the Louisville Cardinals during the second half at Papa John
Neal Wilkerson: Kentucky by 14
Ben Murphy: KENTUCKY
Ben Richardson: If UK gets lulled to sleep, not only will they not cover, but they will get beat. ULL finished 9-4 last year, but they got crushed by superior talent. Outside Patrick Towles, I don’t believe UK has superior talent. Towles won’t let UK lose, but ULL covers.
Ryan Summers: Kentucky by 3
David Waters: Kentucky and they cover
Lee Wardlaw: Louisiana-Lafayette keeps it closer than expected in Big Blue Country. Pick the Cajuns to beat the spread.
LSU (-28) V McNeese State
6:30 PM (CT) SEC Network/WatchESPN
Picks
John’s: 28? That’s it? LSU doesn’t need a quarterback to score 50 against McNeese. I got LSU covering, keep the
Oct 25, 2014; Baton Rouge, LA, USA; LSU Tigers running back Leonard Fournette (7) is tackled by Mississippi Rebels defensive back Senquez Golson (21) in the second half against the Mississippi Rebels at Tiger Stadium. LSU defeated Mississippi 10-7. Mandatory Credit: Crystal LoGiudice-USA TODAY Sports
points.
Neal Wilkerson: LSU by 31
Ben Murphy: No pick
Ben Richardson: Leonard Fournette will have 150 yards and 4 touchdowns by himself. LSU D/ST scores 2 touchdowns. LSU covers easy.
Ryan Summers: LSU by 31
David Waters: LSU, cover
Lee Wardlaw: FCS’s #23 preseason pick, McNeese State nearly beat Nebraska in Lincoln last season. Behind a strong run game and rock solid defense, LSU won’t be on upset alert.
Florida (-37) V New Mexico State
6:30 PM (CT) SEC Network/WatchESPN
Picks
John’s: If this happened later in the year I’d take Florida to cover. Since I think they’ll still be working out some
Nov 22, 2014; Gainesville, FL, USA;Florida Gators running back Kelvin Taylor (21) runs the ball in for a touchdown during the first quarter at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
kinks, I think they’ll score 37 and win…but not cover.
Neal Wilkerson: Florida by 20
Ben Murphy: FLORIDA
Ben Richardson: Expect McElwain to push the envelope with Grier and Harris. He wants to see who can make the plays to push them to the top of the SEC East, and New Mexico State is the practice defense. I hope they are getting paid a million plus for this beat down. UF covers.
Ryan Summers: Florida by 23
David Waters: Florida, cover
Lee Wardlaw: The Gators should smoke a lowly Aggies team in the Swamp, but pick NM State to beat the spread. UF’s offense needs improvement.
Alabama (-10) V Wisconsin
7:00 PM (CT) ABC/WatchESPN
Picks
John’s: Everything in me wants to say Alabama, push. Every time I doubt Bama in one of these openers, I look
Jan 1, 2015; New Orleans, LA, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide running back Derrick Henry (27) against the Ohio State Buckeyes during the first half of the 2015 Sugar Bowl at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports
dumb. Give me the Tide to cover.
Neal Wilkerson: Alabama by 10 (push)
Ben Murphy: ALABAMA
Ben Richardson: Wisconsin played one quality opponent last year, Ohio State, annnnnnnd….yeah.
Alabama covers. There is a reason Gary Andersen left for Oregon State. This game we will find out why.
Ryan Summers: Alabama by 13
David Waters: Alabama covers
Lee Wardlaw: Wisconsin will be strong again this season, but ‘Bama won’t have a problem stopping the Badgers offense in Week One. Stop Wisky, and all the Elephants have to do is hand it off to Derrick Henry.
Mississippi State (-23.5) V Southern Miss
9:00 PM (CT) FOXS1
Picks
John’s: Dak Prescott will be responsible for more than 23.5 points by himself. State covers, easy.
Dec 31, 2014; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs quarterback Dak Prescott (15) in the second half of the Orange Bowl game at Sun Life Stadium. Georgia Tech defeated the Bulldogs 49-34. Mandatory Credit: Brad Barr-USA TODAY Sports
Neal Wilkerson: MSU by 27
Ben Murphy: Southern Miss
Ben Richardson: Last year USM lost this game 49-0 and Mississippi State was being heralded as a “dark horse” candidate. This year, Mississippi State is the popular pick to finish last in the SEC West and Dak Prescott will be looking to send a message, or seven. Mississippi State could win by 100 and I wouldn’t be surprised.
Ryan Summers: MSU by 7
David Waters: MSU covers
Lee Wardlaw: The Dak Prescott express takes a tour stop in Hattiesburg. Without a doubt, take Maroon and the points.
Bonus Pick (Non-SEC, double points)
Ohio State (-27) V Virginia Tech
Monday, 7:00 PM (CT), ESPN/WatchESPN
Picks
John’s: If Ohio State didn’t have several players suspended, I’d say they’ll cover. Since they do, though, I’ll take
Jan 24, 2015; Columbus, OH, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes quarterback Cardale Jones (12) with the college football coaches trophy at the national championship celebration at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports
Ohio State to win but not to cover.
Ben Murphy: No Pick
Ben Richardson: The first line I literally laughed at. Urban Meyer is a very prideful man, and he won’t admit it, but I think “vengeful” could be a fantastic word to describe Urban’s game plan. Virginia Tech is the sole reason his buckeyes had to crush Wisconsin by 50+ just to get to the 4th spot in the playoff. I haven’t heard a lot of Frank Beemer’s retirement talks, but after this game, talk will begin. Coach Beemer, give Coach Fulmer a call so he can help you through the times ahead. Ohio State, covers half way through the 2nd quarter.
Ryan Summers: Ohio State by 36
David Waters: Ohio State covers
Lee Wardlaw: I’m expecting the Hokies to come out strong in the first half, but the Buckeyes will come away with the dub. They won’t beat the spread, but they’ll win by at least two touchdowns.
*Game times and viewing options taken from espn.com
More from Southbound and Down
- Texas A&M vs. Auburn: Line, Prediction, TV Channel & Live Stream for SEC Football
- 3 Up’s, 3 Down’s from Georgia’s 24-14 Win Over South Carolina
- Ole Miss Football: Looking back at the Rebels career of Zedrick Woods
- Alabama vs. Ole Miss: Line, Prediction, TV Channel & Live Stream for SEC Football
- “Horns Down” will not be a Penalty in the SEC